Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 0.000123 0.000137 0.000152 0.000169 0.000187 0.000208 0.000231
2025-10-26 0.000102 0.000120 0.000141 0.000166 0.000196 0.000231 0.000274
2025-11-02 0.000087 0.000108 0.000133 0.000164 0.000204 0.000253 0.000316
2025-11-09 0.000076 0.000098 0.000126 0.000164 0.000213 0.000276 0.000362
2025-11-16 0.000066 0.000090 0.000120 0.000162 0.000219 0.000296 0.000405
2025-11-23 0.000059 0.000083 0.000115 0.000161 0.000227 0.000317 0.000452
2025-11-30 0.000054 0.000078 0.000111 0.000161 0.000235 0.000340 0.000503
2025-12-07 0.000049 0.000073 0.000107 0.000160 0.000240 0.000359 0.000548
2025-12-14 0.000045 0.000069 0.000105 0.000162 0.000251 0.000386 0.000609
2025-12-21 0.000042 0.000066 0.000103 0.000162 0.000259 0.000409 0.000666
2025-12-28 0.000039 0.000062 0.000099 0.000161 0.000264 0.000428 0.000717
2026-01-04 0.000037 0.000060 0.000098 0.000164 0.000275 0.000458 0.000789
2026-01-11 0.000034 0.000058 0.000096 0.000164 0.000283 0.000484 0.000856
2026-01-18 0.000032 0.000055 0.000094 0.000164 0.000289 0.000507 0.000922
2026-01-25 0.000030 0.000052 0.000091 0.000163 0.000294 0.000529 0.000988
2026-02-01 0.000028 0.000050 0.000089 0.000163 0.000301 0.000554 0.001062
2026-02-08 0.000026 0.000047 0.000086 0.000161 0.000304 0.000573 0.001126
2026-02-15 0.000024 0.000045 0.000084 0.000160 0.000310 0.000597 0.001202
2026-02-22 0.000023 0.000044 0.000082 0.000161 0.000318 0.000625 0.001287
2026-03-01 0.000021 0.000042 0.000080 0.000159 0.000321 0.000645 0.001358
2026-03-08 0.000021 0.000041 0.000079 0.000161 0.000332 0.000681 0.001467
2026-03-15 0.000020 0.000039 0.000078 0.000162 0.000340 0.000711 0.001566
2026-03-22 0.000018 0.000038 0.000076 0.000160 0.000344 0.000733 0.001650